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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

12/15/2025, 12:00:04 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Knicks
18-760-2273.2% 57100.0%
2
Celtics
15-1052-3063.4% 5799.2%
3
Pistons
20-552-3063.4% 5798.6%
4
Magic
15-1150-3261.0% 5697.0%
5
Heat
14-1149-3359.8% 5795.3%
6
Cavaliers
15-1248-3458.5% 5593.9%
7
Hawks
15-1245-3754.9% 5587.5%
8
Raptors
15-1143-3952.4% 5674.9%
9
76ers
14-1136-4643.9% 5728.5%
10
Bulls
10-1533-4940.2% 5715.1%
11
Bucks
11-1630-5236.6% 556.4%
12
Hornets
8-1827-5532.9% 561.9%
13
Pacers
6-2026-5631.7% 561.2%
14
Nets
7-1825-5730.5% 570.6%
15
Wizards
4-2015-6718.3% 580.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
24-271-1186.6% 56100.0%
2
Rockets
16-660-2273.2% 60100.0%
3
Nuggets
18-655-2767.1% 5899.4%
4
T-Wolves
17-952-3063.4% 5698.1%
5
Spurs
18-751-3162.2% 5796.0%
6
Lakers
18-749-3359.8% 5791.3%
7
Warriors
13-1448-3458.5% 5587.8%
8
Suns
14-1243-3952.4% 5664.8%
9
Clippers
6-1938-4446.3% 5723.5%
10
Blazers
10-1637-4545.1% 5617.0%
11
Grizzlies
11-1436-4643.9% 5718.5%
12
Mavericks
10-1632-5039.0% 563.5%
13
Jazz
9-1525-5730.5% 580.1%
14
Kings
6-2023-5928.0% 560.0%
15
Pelicans
5-2223-5928.0% 550.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

NYK

New York Knicks

HOU

Houston Rockets

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

DEN

Denver Nuggets

BOS

Boston Celtics

ORL

Orlando Magic

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

DET

Detroit Pistons

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

GSW

Golden State Warriors

MIA

Miami Heat

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

PHX

Phoenix Suns

TOR

Toronto Raptors

LAC

LA Clippers

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

MEM

Memphis Grizzlies

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

CHI

Chicago Bulls

MIL

Milwaukee Bucks

IND

Indiana Pacers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
New York Knicks------------
Houston Rockets------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Boston Celtics------------
Orlando Magic------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Miami Heat------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Toronto Raptors------------
LA Clippers------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Memphis Grizzlies------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Chicago Bulls------------
Milwaukee Bucks------------
Indiana Pacers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.