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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

2/3/2026, 12:13:29 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
36-1257-2569.5% 34100.0%
2
Celtics
31-1852-3063.4% 3399.9%
3
Knicks
31-1851-3162.2% 3399.6%
4
Cavaliers
30-2150-3261.0% 3199.5%
5
Raptors
30-2146-3656.1% 3193.2%
6
Heat
27-2445-3754.9% 3188.2%
7
Magic
25-2343-3952.4% 3466.3%
8
76ers
28-2143-3952.4% 3368.6%
9
Hawks
24-2741-4150.0% 3153.1%
10
Hornets
23-2839-4347.6% 3124.5%
11
Bulls
24-2636-4643.9% 327.0%
12
Bucks
18-2929-5335.4% 350.1%
13
Pacers
13-3725-5730.5% 320.0%
14
Nets
13-3524-5829.3% 340.0%
15
Wizards
13-3522-6026.8% 340.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
39-1165-1779.3% 32100.0%
2
Spurs
33-1654-2865.9% 3399.8%
3
Rockets
31-1753-2964.6% 3499.6%
4
T-Wolves
31-2052-3063.4% 3198.9%
5
Nuggets
33-1748-3458.5% 3292.3%
6
Suns
30-2048-3458.5% 3289.4%
7
Lakers
29-1946-3656.1% 3479.1%
8
Warriors
27-2345-3754.9% 3273.5%
9
Clippers
23-2642-4051.2% 3342.2%
10
Blazers
23-2740-4248.8% 3224.1%
11
Grizzlies
19-2932-5039.0% 341.0%
12
Mavericks
19-3030-5236.6% 330.1%
13
Jazz
15-3525-5730.5% 320.0%
14
Pelicans
13-3925-5730.5% 300.0%
15
Kings
12-3922-6026.8% 310.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

DET

Detroit Pistons

NYK

New York Knicks

HOU

Houston Rockets

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DEN

Denver Nuggets

LAC

LA Clippers

GSW

Golden State Warriors

PHX

Phoenix Suns

TOR

Toronto Raptors

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

ORL

Orlando Magic

MIA

Miami Heat

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

CHI

Chicago Bulls

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Detroit Pistons------------
New York Knicks------------
Houston Rockets------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Denver Nuggets------------
LA Clippers------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Orlando Magic------------
Miami Heat------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Chicago Bulls------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.