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NBA Season Projections & Playoff Odds

3/21/2026, 12:30:33 PM

To view playoff, finals, and championship odds, plus detailed team outlooks including seed projections, win distribution charts, and probability analysis:

EASTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Pistons
50-1958-2470.7% 13100.0%
2
Celtics
46-2355-2767.1% 13100.0%
3
Knicks
45-2553-2964.6% 12100.0%
4
Cavaliers
43-2752-3063.4% 12100.0%
5
Raptors
39-2946-3656.1% 1496.0%
6
Magic
38-3145-3754.9% 1383.5%
7
Heat
38-3244-3853.7% 1272.6%
8
Hawks
38-3144-3853.7% 1362.6%
9
Hornets
36-3443-3952.4% 1253.1%
10
76ers
38-3242-4051.2% 1232.2%
11
Bucks
28-4133-4940.2% 130.0%
12
Bulls
28-4232-5039.0% 120.0%
13
Nets
17-5222-6026.8% 130.0%
14
Pacers
15-5519-6323.2% 120.0%
15
Wizards
16-5319-6323.2% 130.0%
WESTERN CONFERENCE
TeamCurrentProjectedWin %Games LeftPlayoff Odds
1
Thunder
55-1564-1878.0% 12100.0%
2
Spurs
52-1861-2174.4% 12100.0%
3
Lakers
45-2552-3063.4% 12100.0%
4
Rockets
41-2750-3261.0% 1499.8%
5
Nuggets
42-2850-3261.0% 1299.8%
6
T-Wolves
43-2750-3261.0% 1299.1%
7
Suns
39-3146-3656.1% 1285.2%
8
Clippers
34-3641-4150.0% 1251.5%
9
Blazers
34-3641-4150.0% 1236.7%
10
Warriors
33-3640-4248.8% 1328.0%
11
Pelicans
25-4629-5335.4% 110.0%
12
Grizzlies
24-4428-5434.1% 140.0%
13
Mavericks
23-4727-5532.9% 120.0%
14
Jazz
21-4924-5829.3% 120.0%
15
Kings
18-5321-6125.6% 110.0%

Team Advancement Probabilities

Visualize each team's likelihood of reaching different playoff rounds. The size of each team's "orbit" scales with their Championship odds. Hover over a team for details (full odds available to subscribers).

Team Playoff Orbits

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
OKC

Oklahoma City Thunder

BOS

Boston Celtics

CLE

Cleveland Cavaliers

NYK

New York Knicks

SAS

San Antonio Spurs

DET

Detroit Pistons

DEN

Denver Nuggets

MIN

Minnesota Timberwolves

LAL

Los Angeles Lakers

HOU

Houston Rockets

ORL

Orlando Magic

GSW

Golden State Warriors

TOR

Toronto Raptors

PHX

Phoenix Suns

MIA

Miami Heat

ATL

Atlanta Hawks

CHA

Charlotte Hornets

PHI

Philadelphia 76ers

LAC

LA Clippers

POR

Portland Trail Blazers

Round 2
Conf Finals
NBA Finals
Win Title
Orbit size scaled by Championship Odds
Subscribe to see full details for all teams.

Most Likely Playoff Bracket

This bracket shows the most probable first-round matchups based on projected seeding, including simulated play-in results. Series win odds are shown for each matchup (full advancement odds available to subscribers).

Team 2nd RoundConf FinalsFinalsTitle
Oklahoma City Thunder------------
Boston Celtics------------
Cleveland Cavaliers------------
New York Knicks------------
San Antonio Spurs------------
Detroit Pistons------------
Denver Nuggets------------
Minnesota Timberwolves------------
Los Angeles Lakers------------
Houston Rockets------------
Orlando Magic------------
Golden State Warriors------------
Toronto Raptors------------
Phoenix Suns------------
Miami Heat------------
Atlanta Hawks------------
Charlotte Hornets------------
Philadelphia 76ers------------
LA Clippers------------
Portland Trail Blazers------------
Subscribe to see round-by-round advancement odds.